Vegas Over/Under: 40.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 44-38
The Bet: Hammer the over The Utah Jazz went 51-31 last season. So how on earth are they expected to win just seven fewer games after losing their best player?
Well, the solution is simple: They didn’t actually lose their very best player.
Gordon Hayward’s death to the Boston Celtics stings, along with the Jazz is going to have a difficult time replacing his versatile creation. Even a dynamite rookie season from Donovan Mitchell can not possibly fill the void, and the small-forward thickness chart looks a little more uninspiring with Joe Ingles and Joe Johnson leading the charge.
But Rudy Gobert is still patrolling Salt Lake City, ready to prove to the planet he’s indisputably among the NBA’s 20 best players.
Whereas Hayward finished Nos. 29 and 24, respectively, in ESPN.com’s RPM and NBA Math’s TPA, Gobert sat at Nos. 8 and 12 last season. He’s arguably the league’s best baseball player, along with his incredible finishing ability across the rim makes him exceptionally valuable about the offensive end.
There is also the fact that the Jazz’s net rating dipped by 5.7 points per 100 possessions without Hayward, but it fell by 11.3 with no Gobert. After the”Stifle Tower” suited up with his now-departed teammate, Utah still submitted a 5.5 net rating, per nbawowy. In the reverse situation, the net rating stood at minus-6.9.
Utah will probably be worse this year. That much is clear.
But they are not falling below .500. Frankly, they shouldn’t even be particularly near this mark.