BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 132 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This week, we have a Fight Pass card at Singapore. Because it is in Singapore, we have to wake up at 4:30am ET to see it live. I have set the alarm and that I will be up ready to sweat these early struggles. DraftKings does not have many big tournaments this week so I will be playing more money games and less GPPs. I’ll still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment this week will be in cash games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a few plays I like and my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is never in a dull fight. Whether he wins or loses, his struggles usually score high as a whole and also the winner almost always pays off their cost in DraftKings. I usually look for at least 100 total points if I pile up a struggle in cash and I believe with this being a possible 5-rounds, it must assess well more than that. Should Edwards win this battle, it is likely an early KO, and if that happens he will score very large. If Cerrone wins, then he could lock up a entry or a knockout and that will readily 10x his price tag of $7.6k. However, either way, you’ve got the winner at your lineup and the guaranteed 30-90 win bonus points if you do stack. I believe this fight is going to be fun so long as it continues and there should be a fantastic amount of points added up before one of these two get finished. When it does go 5 rounds, these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points with the speed Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP play of the week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang always puts on a show when he steps in the Octagon. He is a quick pace fighter who scores well on DraftKings when he wins. I think he should be the fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. In addition, I believe he can finish this battle on the feet or the ground and if this happens he’d very likely pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and that I think he has the highest ceiling. That’s what we desire in GPPs is a high ceiling, so that is the reason why Jingliang is my GPP play of this week.
Underdog drama of the week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favourite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His gambling line has shifted to him being a slight favorite at -120 however he’s $400 cheaper than his competitor. I think saving that $400 is a good transfer in money or GPP games therefore I like Yadong in most formats. I think Yadong will look to keep this fight on the toes and hunt for this KO win. If he does get the win, then I think he must easily pay off that price tag and receive at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My main difficulty with Pereira is that she is too pricey. At $8.8k, I want at least 88 points out of her and I think she desires get a finish to do that. I really don’t see that happening and neither does Vegas with a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike a high enough pace or territory enough takedowns to score 88 points in my opinion. In her two UFC wins she held her competitor against the fence to get a fantastic portion of the fight and no issues are being scored when that occurs. If she does that again , there is no way she comes close to 88 points in spite of a win. I have a complete fade on Pereira this week and I will pay up for other favorites instead.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on each fight, my private strategies & suggestions, and also my selection prediction for every single struggle then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below: